Leaderboard
◆ Rest vs Result · League ◆

Does Rest
Win Games?

Every completed WNBA game this season, one dot each, from the home team's view. Horizontal: the rest edge at tip-off (positive = home fresher). Vertical: final point differential (positive = home won). Each dot is split — left half = away team, right half = home team.

315 games

-100-90-80-70-60-50-40-30-20-10+10+20+30+40+50+60+70+80+90+100-50-45-40-35-30-25-20-15-10-5+5+10+15+20+25+30+35+40+45+50← Away more rested · Rest edge (Fatigue Index) · Home more rested →← Home loss · Point differential · Home win →HOME FRESH · WIN · 107HOME TIRED · WIN · 56HOME FRESH · LOSS · 74HOME TIRED · LOSS · 47

When fresher: won 59% (107–74) · when more tired: won 54% (56–47)

Correlation r = 0.11 · weak · best-fit slope +0.05 pts per rest-point · n = 315