Back to schedule
◆ Rest vs Result · Fever ◆

Does Rest
Win Games?

Each dot is a completed Indiana Fever game. Horizontal: the rest edge going into tip-off (positive = IND fresher). Vertical: point differential (positive = IND won). Click dot for game details.

-80-70-60-50-40-30-20-10+10+20+30+40+50+60+70+80-35-30-25-20-15-10-5+5+10+15+20+25+30+35← Opp more rested · Rest edge (Fatigue Index) · IND more rested →← IND loss · Point differential · IND win →FRESH · WIN · 9TIRED · WIN · 6FRESH · LOSS · 2TIRED · LOSS · 6

When fresher: won 82% (9–2) · when more tired: won 50% (6–6)

Correlation r = 0.03 · no correlation · best-fit slope +0.01 pts per rest-point · n = 25