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◆ Rest vs Result · Aces ◆

Does Rest
Win Games?

Each dot is a completed Las Vegas Aces game. Horizontal: the rest edge going into tip-off (positive = LVA fresher). Vertical: point differential (positive = LVA won). Click dot for game details.

-100-90-80-70-60-50-40-30-20-10+10+20+30+40+50+60+70+80+90+100-50-45-40-35-30-25-20-15-10-5+5+10+15+20+25+30+35+40+45+50← Opp more rested · Rest edge (Fatigue Index) · LVA more rested →← LVA loss · Point differential · LVA win →FRESH · WIN · 10TIRED · WIN · 13FRESH · LOSS · 6TIRED · LOSS · 7

When fresher: won 63% (10–6) · when more tired: won 65% (13–7)

Correlation r = 0.22 · weak · best-fit slope +0.09 pts per rest-point · n = 39