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◆ Rest vs Result · Dream ◆

Does Rest
Win Games?

Each dot is a completed Atlanta Dream game. Horizontal: the rest edge going into tip-off (positive = ATL fresher). Vertical: point differential (positive = ATL won). Click dot for game details.

-90-80-70-60-50-40-30-20-10+10+20+30+40+50+60+70+80+90-40-35-30-25-20-15-10-5+5+10+15+20+25+30+35+40← Opp more rested · Rest edge (Fatigue Index) · ATL more rested →← ATL loss · Point differential · ATL win →FRESH · WIN · 14TIRED · WIN · 9FRESH · LOSS · 5TIRED · LOSS · 9

When fresher: won 74% (14–5) · when more tired: won 50% (9–9)

Correlation r = 0.17 · weak · best-fit slope +0.07 pts per rest-point · n = 39