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◆ Rest vs Result · Dream ◆

Does Rest
Win Games?

Each dot is a completed Atlanta Dream game. Horizontal: the rest edge going into tip-off (positive = ATL fresher). Vertical: point differential (positive = ATL won). Click dot for game details.

-90-80-70-60-50-40-30-20-10+10+20+30+40+50+60+70+80+90-35-30-25-20-15-10-5+5+10+15+20+25+30+35← Opp more rested · Rest edge (Fatigue Index) · ATL more rested →← ATL loss · Point differential · ATL win →FRESH · WIN · 9TIRED · WIN · 4FRESH · LOSS · 2TIRED · LOSS · 8

When fresher: won 82% (9–2) · when more tired: won 33% (4–8)

Correlation r = 0.25 · weak · best-fit slope +0.08 pts per rest-point · n = 25