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◆ Rest vs Result · Sun ◆

Does Rest
Win Games?

Each dot is a completed Connecticut Sun game. Horizontal: the rest edge going into tip-off (positive = CON fresher). Vertical: point differential (positive = CON won). Click dot for game details.

-90-80-70-60-50-40-30-20-10+10+20+30+40+50+60+70+80+90-35-30-25-20-15-10-5+5+10+15+20+25+30+35← Opp more rested · Rest edge (Fatigue Index) · CON more rested →← CON loss · Point differential · CON win →FRESH · WIN · 7TIRED · WIN · 2FRESH · LOSS · 15TIRED · LOSS · 11

When fresher: won 32% (7–15) · when more tired: won 15% (2–11)

Correlation r = 0.33 · moderate · best-fit slope +0.13 pts per rest-point · n = 39