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◆ Rest vs Result · Mercury ◆

Does Rest
Win Games?

Each dot is a completed Phoenix Mercury game. Horizontal: the rest edge going into tip-off (positive = PHO fresher). Vertical: point differential (positive = PHO won). Click dot for game details.

-70-60-50-40-30-20-10+10+20+30+40+50+60+70-50-45-40-35-30-25-20-15-10-5+5+10+15+20+25+30+35+40+45+50← Opp more rested · Rest edge (Fatigue Index) · PHO more rested →← PHO loss · Point differential · PHO win →FRESH · WIN · 3TIRED · WIN · 3FRESH · LOSS · 8TIRED · LOSS · 10

When fresher: won 27% (3–8) · when more tired: won 23% (3–10)

Correlation r = 0.03 · no correlation · best-fit slope +0.01 pts per rest-point · n = 26