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◆ Rest vs Result · Tempo ◆

Does Rest
Win Games?

Each dot is a completed Toronto Tempo game. Horizontal: the rest edge going into tip-off (positive = TOR fresher). Vertical: point differential (positive = TOR won). Click dot for game details.

-90-80-70-60-50-40-30-20-10+10+20+30+40+50+60+70+80+90-40-35-30-25-20-15-10-5+5+10+15+20+25+30+35+40← Opp more rested · Rest edge (Fatigue Index) · TOR more rested →← TOR loss · Point differential · TOR win →FRESH · WIN · 5TIRED · WIN · 6FRESH · LOSS · 5TIRED · LOSS · 21

When fresher: won 50% (5–5) · when more tired: won 22% (6–21)

Correlation r = 0.26 · weak · best-fit slope +0.12 pts per rest-point · n = 42